Ease & Coherence

. We are confident in the story we tell ourselves that comes easily to mind, has no contradiction and no competing scenario. But ease and coherence do not guarantee that a belief held with confidence is true. The associative machine is set to suppress doubts and evoke ideas and information that are comparable with the currently dominant story, ie

"...A mind that follows WYSIATI will achieve high confidence much too easily by ignoring what it does not know......the confidence that people have in their intuitions is not a reliable guide to their validity..."

Daniel Kahneman, (2012)

NB WYSIATI = What You See All There Is.

 

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