Creative Forecasting

This involves the art of predicting which ideas will most likely be successful.

This is linked with 2 types of professionals:

"...creators who imagine new acts, and managers to evaluate them..."
Justin Berg as quoted by Derek Thompson, 2017

It was found that creators were too focused on their own concepts, while managers were too dismissive of truly novel acts, ie reject anything that is too new.
"...The ideal mix is a panel of creators who are also judges......the best evaluators are like player-coaches - they create, then manage, and then return to creating. They're hybrids..."
Justin Berg as quoted by Derek Thompson, 2017

This is the type of approach that has been successful in the past solving big problems associated with the nuclear age, transistors, computers, Internet, movie industry, etc.

 

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